KwaZulu-Natal is set for another torrential downpour on Thursday, just days after severe storms took the lives of two people in the province. A couple were confirmed dead earlier this morning, following a roof collapse initiated by the deluge. The Durban weather has also closed some major roads.
Saws wary of Thursday forecast
There has been abject chaos on the East Coast, and things don’t look too great for the rest of the week either. Showers are threatening to persist over the next 72 hours, culminating with a biblical amount of rainfall on Thursday and Friday. The South African Weather Service (Saws) are taking the Durban weather forecast very seriously.
ECMWF model output showing daily forecasted rainfall totals for Thursday, 14 November – Photo: Saws
Durban weather warning for Thursday 14 November
They are warning that there is “an extreme danger to life” with this upcoming forecast. Dangerous conditions like landslides and overflowing rivers are likely to endanger hundreds, if not thousands of residents across the province. According to Saws, around 150mm of rain could fall in a 24-hour period:
“Over the central and eastern parts of KwaZulu-Natal, this heavy rain is expected to lead to flooding of roads and settlements both formal and informal, which may result in some communities being displaced and inaccessible. High rainfall totals have already been recorded across KwaZulu-Natal, resulting in the ground being saturated.”
“There is an extreme danger to life due to fast flowing rivers. There is also a possibility of landslides and soil erosion along highly elevated areas which might lead to further disruption to traffic flow. Accumulated rainfall amounts for Thursday and Friday could exceed 100-150 mm in places over KwaZulu-Natal.”SA Weather Service
Durban weather forcecast for Thursday 14 November
The worst of the rain will get under way just after 20:00 on Thursday evening. The downpours will rage through the night, before finishing strongly on Friday afternoon. By 17:00, the worst of the wet stuff will have cleared. But the damage could be long-lasting – more than 70 people died during the floods which hit Durban in April.
Durban weather for Thursday – Photo: Ventusky
The worst affected areas will be towards the south of the province. Regions just outside of Port Shepstone could even push the 200mm mark, whereas Greytown to the north is also likely to receive 100mm+. Durban itself – and the coastal regions up towards Richards Bay – could get anything between 60 – 100mm before the end of the week.
Other provinces affected
The far-east areas of Mpumalanga and Limpopo are also set for an epic dousing, whereas Free State will get another lashing on Thursday. However, all eyes are on KZN, as local authorities look to limit the damage.
Media release: First significant summer rainfall could lead to potential flooding in places. Please find attached. pic.twitter.com/e7E5xNg9PK— SA Weather Service (@SAWeatherServic) November 12, 2019